Grocer-Affiliated Debit Program
Operating domain: Payments · Capability: Affiliated debit / tender migration and program economics
- Value at Issue
- Approved
- Confidence-Adjusted Value Opportunity
- Approved
- Projected Net First-Year Benefit
- Projected
- Verified Net Value Retained
- Finance-Verified
- Executive owner
- M. Chen (simulated)
- Working owner
- J. Whitcombe — Value Case Lead (simulated)
- Confidence
- High
- Data completeness
- 96%
- Next required decision
- Review fee statement
- Decision owner · required by
- D. Alvarez (simulated) · Aug 15, 2027
- Reporting period
- Calendar year · Q2 2027
- Scenario
- Approved base case
- Approved baseline
- Payments Value Case Template v3 · version 7
- Data as of
- Jul 18, 2027
Grocer-Affiliated Debit Program — Value Case overview
Affiliated debit / tender migration and program economics. What is happening today, what change is proposed, what value may be available, what it costs, and what must be decided next. Every figure is read from this Value Case’s canonical records.
Current recommendation and next action
One recommendation, taken from the decision recorded against the current lifecycle stage.
Review Q2 2027 fee statement and clear the open provider-credit dispute.
- Lifecycle stage and status
- Verify · Complete
- Decision owner · authorized approver
- D. Alvarez — Finance (simulated) · D. Alvarez (simulated)
- Required by
- Aug 15, 2027in 28 days
- Value affected
- $4,300,000
- Confidence
- High
- Principal unresolved item
- Open provider-credit dispute
- Consequence of delay
- Each period without a decision leaves the affected value unverified and defers fee-eligible realization into the next measurement period.
Lifecycle journey
Diagnose → Quantify → Select → Implement → Verify. This is the operating journey for the case, not the financial reading order.
- Stage 1Diagnose
What is happening in the grocer's current payment flow, where are the economic gaps, and what causes them?
CompleteGate: Do we accept the current-state payment flow, addressable gaps, primary causes and evidence boundaries as the basis for quantification?
M. Chen (simulated) · reviewed Jul 1, 2027 · 0 blockers
- Stage 2Quantify
How much value could the debit program create, what will it cost, and under which assumptions does it produce or destroy value?
CompleteGate: Do we approve the baseline, two-ledger value model, attribution boundaries, scenario and financial case for provider and operating-model evaluation?
M. Chen (simulated) · reviewed Jul 1, 2027 · 0 blockers
- Stage 3Select
Which debit-program operating model and provider configuration can deliver the approved financial case with acceptable cost, risk, and responsibility?
CompleteGate: Operating model and provider configuration approved for contracting and implementation planning
M. Chen (simulated) · reviewed Jul 1, 2027 · 0 blockers
- Stage 4Implement
What must be contracted, integrated, tested, measured, and authorized before the debit program can launch?
CompleteGate: Approved program contracted, integrated, measurable, and authorized to launch
M. Chen (simulated) · reviewed Jul 1, 2027 · 0 blockers
- Stage 5Verify
What changed, what value is attributable to the intervention, and what can Finance accept as retained?
CompleteGate: Result accepted through Finance Verification for the measurement period
J. Whitcombe — Value Case Lead (simulated) · due Aug 15, 2027 · 6 blockers
How this program creates value
What happens today, what would change, and where value could come from.
1. Today
- Customers use third-party credit and debit cards at the grocer's POS and ecommerce channels. Observed
- The grocer receives its merchant sale proceeds less applicable payment-acceptance costs. Observed
- The grocer does not currently operate the proposed affiliated debit product and therefore has no observed contractual program economics from customers' eligible outside-the-grocer use of that product. Observed
2. Proposed change
- Offer eligible customers a grocer-affiliated debit product. Contracted
- Enroll, activate, and drive active use among a defined customer cohort. Modelled
- Migrate only eligible and actually captured own-channel transactions. Modelled
- Capture eligible outside-the-grocer purchase volume only when the customer uses the affiliated product. Modelled
3. Potential value
- Own-channel cost benefit on migrated transactions, measured against the same transaction population. Modelled
- Contractually available grocer value from eligible external program volume. Contracted
- Less all program implementation, recurring, usage, rewards, fraud, servicing, internal, and other applicable costs. Modelled
- Less the applicable projected Nourishe fee. Contracted
Financial story
Five reading steps for this Value Case only. This is a financial summary, not the lifecycle journey.
- Step 1
Value at Issue
Observed Annual Card-Acceptance Cost
$18,400,000ObservedObserved- Credit acceptance cost $11.90M
- Third-party debit acceptance cost $4.10M
- Modelled addressable portion $15.00M — the full cost is not avoidable
High confidence · Data completeness 9600%
View calculation - Step 2
Value Opportunity
Confidence-Adjusted Gross Program Value
$15,000,000ApprovedModelled- Own-channel tender-migration benefit $12.60M
- External-spend program value available to the grocer $2.40M
- Range $12.80M – $16.40M · High confidence
High confidence · Data completeness 9600%
View calculation - Step 3
Investment Required
Total First-Year Program Investment
$1,380,000ApprovedContracted- One-time implementation $1.20M
- First-year recurring and usage-based cost $180K
- Projected Nourishe fee at 3000% of verified value
High confidence · Data completeness 9600%
View calculation - Step 4
Net Return
Projected Net First-Year Benefit
$5,882,500ProjectedModelled- Projected first-year gross realization $10.38M
- Payback 5 months
- Approved EBITDA-relevant impact $13.50M
High confidence · Data completeness 9600%
View calculation - Step 5
Value Realized
Verified Net Value Retained
$1,680,000Finance-VerifiedObserved- Finance-verified value $2,400,000
- Verified Nourishe fee $720,000
- Verified coverage 1600% of approved opportunity
High confidence · Data completeness 9600%
View verification
Customer and value-model snapshot
Only a portion of shoppers are eligible, enrol, activate and generate captured eligible spend. Nothing here assumes universal participation.
- Identified customers1,240,000Observed
Distinct loyalty-identified shoppers in the trailing twelve months.
- Eligible742,000Modelled
Meet age, geography, identity and product-eligibility rules. Eligibility is not universal.
- Enrolled214,000Modelled
Modelled enrollment across the defined cohort over the first program year.
- Activated156,000Modelled
Completed activation and made at least one purchase.
- Monthly active118,000Modelled
Sustained monthly use at steady state. Enrollment does not imply active use.
- Captured eligible spend$1.86B
Annual spend actually captured on the affiliated product at steady state.
Ledger A — Own-channel tender-migration benefit
ModelledAcceptance-cost delta on $1.33B of eligible, captured own-channel volume, measured against the same transaction population.
Ledger B — External-spend program value available to the grocer
ContractedContractually available grocer share of program economics on $530M of eligible outside-the-grocer volume.
Ledger A and Ledger B are held separately and reconcile to the approved gross recoverable value for this Value Case.
Blockers and missing evidence
Everything that must be resolved before the current gate can be passed. The decision, owner and value affected are stated once above. Detail stays in the owning stage.
- BlockingOpen provider-credit dispute
- BlockingCross-case overlap review pending finance
- BlockingMissing required evidence
Back-office reconciliation time study
Missing evidence, provider quotes and contract terms are held in the Evidence record. Approvals are recorded in the owning stage’s decision brief.
Measurement and data readiness
Whether this case can be measured, and when the next measurable event occurs.
- Data completeness
- 9600%
- Approval completeness
- 9200%
- Baseline
- Approved and locked
- Evidence quality
- Strong
- Earliest next milestone
- Aug 15, 2027 — Result accepted through Finance Verification for the measurement period
- Finance-verified to date
- $2,400,000
Recent material activity
The most recent audited events. The immutable history is never edited.
Audit history
Chronological, immutable record of baseline approvals and amendments, data validation, milestones, adjustments, finance decisions and verification.
- Baseline approvalApproved baseline v1Jul 24, 2026
Trailing 12 months, $800.0M annual payment volume, 1.87% effective cost rate.
Director of Finance
- Data validationData validation completedOct 18, 2026
Coverage 99.6%, reconciliation variance 0.1%. Sufficient for finance review.
Controller
- Implementation milestoneProduction launch recordedJan 4, 2027
Launched 4 Jan 2027, three days after plan. No ramp impact.
Program Director
- AdjustmentApproved adjustment — seasonality normalizationJul 2, 2027
−$60,000 applied to CLM-0001 under the approved measurement plan.
Director of Finance
- Finance decisionClaims submitted for finance reviewJul 6, 2027
CLM-0001, CLM-0002 and CLM-0003 submitted for the months 7–12 period.
VP Financial Planning